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作者 主题:   弯曲房价   [ 本主题已被阅1313次 ]   [ 四海纵谈精华区 ]
下山狼
Senior Member
递交于05-09-2008 07:05     按这里看下山狼的档案   按这里给下山狼发Email     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 下山狼
The housing boom after dot com collapsed is caused by the high
employment and massive inflow population from other countries. Even
the NASDAQ collapsed, the momentum of economy is still going on.
When the house price went high, the cost goes up, so there are a lot
of business moved away to Washington/Oregon/Idaho. So lots of people
believe now the right time to call dot com collapsed is when the
housing collapsed, not NASDAQ collapsed. Last year (2007) is the
first year in the history of California that population is reduced.
Population growth is usually the early signal of economy turning
point.

However the immigrants from Mexico is still fueling California, and
it will keep the state out of trouble for long time

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林依然
Senior Member
递交于05-08-2008 16:25     按这里看林依然的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 林依然
区也会变的,我觉得以前认为DOWNTOWN附近不好,可现在油价奇贵,将来还要翻番,
那些住市郊开车的估计很快又想搬回来,买房是投资,要看眼光.

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ca2004
Junior Member
递交于05-08-2008 16:08     按这里看ca2004的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to ca2004
买新房要找好的builder.不要房子没拿到手builder就破产了.

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ca2004
Junior Member
递交于05-08-2008 16:03     按这里看ca2004的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to ca2004
现在买房子要小心.

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ca2004
Junior Member
递交于05-08-2008 16:02     按这里看ca2004的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to ca2004
前几天看到一个房子, 是short sale. 房子卖出去的价格低于loan. 有点吓
人. 不知道title以后怎么办.

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ca2004
Junior Member
递交于05-08-2008 15:59     按这里看ca2004的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to ca2004
94618 是OAKLAND,CA. 不是好区. 这个区犯罪率很高的.

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下山狼
Senior Member
递交于04-25-2008 06:20     按这里看下山狼的档案   按这里给下山狼发Email     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 下山狼
That sounds dangerous. And that's why some people believe more melt
down will come.

quote:
来源于:deeperblue:
我比较同意这个观点。

现在弯曲经济也不景气。
一些朋友的公司,包括自己的公司都在 LAYOFF人。
LAY 了一批又一批。

更奇怪的是,ENTAL OFFICE 还主动降了我的房租。
看来涌入弯曲的民工在减少。可以看出经济疲软。


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林依然
Senior Member
递交于04-24-2008 14:41     按这里看林依然的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 林依然
那得有EQUITY吧,好多0 DOWNPAYMENT的,付的都是利息,没EQUITY,怎么贷款
啊。
quote:
来源于:下山狼:
There is a home equity loan which is designed for that purpose.



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deeperblue
Senior Member
递交于04-24-2008 14:30     按这里看deeperblue的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to deeperblue
quote:
来源于:山人:
感觉还是再等一等的要好一些。抄底是比较危险的。还是等价格有些上扬
的时候才是正理。


我比较同意这个观点。

现在弯曲经济也不景气。
一些朋友的公司,包括自己的公司都在 LAYOFF人。
LAY 了一批又一批。

更奇怪的是,ENTAL OFFICE 还主动降了我的房租。
看来涌入弯曲的民工在减少。可以看出经济疲软。

------------------
风在吼,马在叫
人民币在咆哮。

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下山狼
Senior Member
递交于04-24-2008 12:54     按这里看下山狼的档案   按这里给下山狼发Email     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 下山狼
There is a home equity loan which is designed for that purpose.


quote:
来源于:林依然:
不知道弯曲的孩子都是怎么养的,去私利学校不要学费吗?谁家这么有钱啊


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林依然
Senior Member
递交于04-24-2008 09:49     按这里看林依然的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 林依然
不知道弯曲的孩子都是怎么养的,去私利学校不要学费吗?谁家这么有钱啊

quote:
来源于:月色盒糖:
这个教育下一代的问题是个大问题

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月色盒糖
Senior Member
递交于04-23-2008 23:55     按这里看月色盒糖的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 月色盒糖
quote:
来源于:*想*:
building the basic infrastructure for the future, for example:
education.
the system is pretty screwed up, at least in california. record # of
people are sending their kids to private school because nobody
believes in public school anymore.

这个教育下一代的问题是个大问题

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data
Forum Leader
递交于04-23-2008 17:32     按这里看data的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to data
quote:
来源于:月色盒糖:
美国不是说连续降息了吗
怎么mortgage rate还是这么高?

加拿大的mortgage rate是在prime rate上再剪掉1%左右


the short term interest rate probably dropped with the fed rate cut,
not the long term

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ThreeTickets
Senior Member
递交于04-23-2008 15:34     按这里看ThreeTickets的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to ThreeTickets
它这只是个很概括的统计,具体到好的区,也就降了5%左右。坏的区,贩毒卖
淫枪战的,可能降了不少,可没人去买啊。


quote:
来源于:data:
really? it should be a lot more than 5 %
[URL=http://www.dqnews.com/News/California/Southern-
CA/RRSCA080415.aspx]http://www.dqnews.com/News/California/Southern-
CA/RRSCA080415.aspx[/URL]

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凉快
Forum Leader
递交于04-23-2008 15:20     按这里看凉快的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 凉快
quote:
来源于:data:
u just found this site? welcome to earth.

这只狼大概下山以后光顾着找吃的了,还没来得抬头看路。

Anyway,今天中午去refinance,值得欣慰的是,俺们的房子虽然涨的不多,不
过至少没跌。前年其实涨了不少,但是去年下半年开始周围卖房子的都没有卖
出过去曾经的好价钱,连带着把我们的也给往下拖了一拖。

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林依然
Senior Member
递交于04-23-2008 14:38     按这里看林依然的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 林依然
我觉得还不够贵,要2密林以上,一密林基本上买不上房,这样就不那么挤了
quote:
来源于:月色盒糖:
刚才查了查94618,94010的房价
动不动就是一俩个密林以上的
还让不让人活了

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*想*
Senior Member
递交于04-23-2008 14:35     按这里看*想*的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to *想*
building the basic infrastructure for the future, for example:
education.
the system is pretty screwed up, at least in california. record # of
people are sending their kids to private school because nobody
believes in public school anymore.
quote:
来源于:下山狼:
Fundamental problems include

1. high labor cost

2. high energy cost

3. high medical cost

4. aging problem.


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下山狼
Senior Member
递交于04-23-2008 12:46     按这里看下山狼的档案   按这里给下山狼发Email     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 下山狼
Fundamental problems include

1. high labor cost

2. high energy cost

3. high medical cost

4. aging problem.

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月色盒糖
Senior Member
递交于04-23-2008 12:12     按这里看月色盒糖的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 月色盒糖
quote:
来源于:猪油:

TNND我已经犹豫很久了,房子也看了不少家,现在还不敢肯定是要买的正确时
候。美国经济其实有很多fundamental方面的问题现在凑一起爆发了,如果外部
条件不充分,要在1-2年走出来还很难讲。

哪些fundamental方面油油请给说说
也好让我参考参考

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月色盒糖
Senior Member
递交于04-23-2008 12:08     按这里看月色盒糖的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 月色盒糖
刚才查了查94618,94010的房价
动不动就是一俩个密林以上的
还让不让人活了

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月色盒糖
Senior Member
递交于04-23-2008 12:06     按这里看月色盒糖的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 月色盒糖
美国不是说连续降息了吗
怎么mortgage rate还是这么高?

加拿大的mortgage rate是在prime rate上再剪掉1%左右

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下山狼
Senior Member
递交于04-23-2008 06:37     按这里看下山狼的档案   按这里给下山狼发Email     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 下山狼
Check www.bankrate.com for mortgage info.

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data
Forum Leader
递交于04-22-2008 15:20     按这里看data的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to data
quote:
来源于:石头小小孩:
我们这里的房子也没降多少,伤心死了。而且好房子出来很快就没了。
我们在纽约WESTCHESTER看的。看来房子还是要买好的,卖的时候也好卖

请问搜索还work吗。 我想找找mortgage的信息,这里好像大家狂热的讨论过



i think u need to wait until June or July for the conforming limit
increase to take effect, but the 30 year jumble fix doesn't look
attractive at all, so even with the limit increase, the rate still
looks crappy.

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石头小小孩
Senior Member
递交于04-22-2008 14:30     按这里看石头小小孩的档案   按这里给石头小小孩发Email     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 石头小小孩
我们这里的房子也没降多少,伤心死了。而且好房子出来很快就没了。
我们在纽约WESTCHESTER看的。看来房子还是要买好的,卖的时候也好卖

请问搜索还work吗。 我想找找mortgage的信息,这里好像大家狂热的讨论过

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data
Forum Leader
递交于04-22-2008 11:56     按这里看data的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to data
quote:
来源于:下山狼:
I just found a very useful website:
www.zillow.com

You can find out your house price chart, your neighbor's house price
chart as well as the history of the trading price.


u just found this site? welcome to earth.
here are some other sites www.movoto.com www.ziprealty.com

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*想*
Senior Member
递交于04-22-2008 11:44     按这里看*想*的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to *想*
好区, 房价没跌ah
94618,94010 for example.

quote:
来源于:ca2004:
好学区, 房价没跌多少.

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山人
Senior Member
递交于04-22-2008 11:33     按这里看山人的档案   按这里给山人发Email     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 山人
quote:
来源于:猪油:

TNND我已经犹豫很久了,房子也看了不少家,现在还不敢肯定是要
买的正确时候。美国经济其实有很多fundamental方面的问题现在凑
一起爆发了,如果外部条件不充分,要在1-2年走出来还很难讲。

感觉还是再等一等的要好一些。抄底是比较危险的。还是等价格有些上扬的时
候才是正理。

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下山狼
Senior Member
递交于04-22-2008 09:30     按这里看下山狼的档案   按这里给下山狼发Email     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 下山狼
I just found a very useful website:
www.zillow.com

You can find out your house price chart, your neighbor's house price
chart as well as the history of the trading price.

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data
Forum Leader
递交于04-22-2008 01:17     按这里看data的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to data
quote:
来源于:猪油:

TNND我已经犹豫很久了,房子也看了不少家,现在还不敢肯定是要买的正确时
候。美国经济其实有很多fundamental方面的问题现在凑一起爆发了,如果外部
条件不充分,要在1-2年走出来还很难讲。

where are u looking?

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猪油
Senior Member
递交于04-21-2008 21:18     按这里看猪油的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 猪油

TNND我已经犹豫很久了,房子也看了不少家,现在还不敢肯定是要买的正确时
候。美国经济其实有很多fundamental方面的问题现在凑一起爆发了,如果外部
条件不充分,要在1-2年走出来还很难讲。

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data
Forum Leader
递交于04-21-2008 20:30     按这里看data的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to data
quote:
来源于:ThreeTickets:
LA的房价大概只降了5%而已。

really? it should be a lot more than 5 % http://www.dqnews.com/News/California/Southern-CA/RRSCA080415.aspx

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ThreeTickets
Senior Member
递交于04-21-2008 20:11     按这里看ThreeTickets的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to ThreeTickets
LA的房价大概只降了5%而已。

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data
Forum Leader
递交于04-21-2008 13:55     按这里看data的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to data
quote:
来源于:下山狼:
听说没咱的变,明年还得涨。 现是吃进的时候了,各位做个参考?

with the current job market, economic environment, and mortgage rate,
I don't see how it can rise. for the best school district, it will
probably rise slowly, anyhow it rises. for the second best, should
wait until 2009

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下山狼
Senior Member
递交于04-21-2008 10:09     按这里看下山狼的档案   按这里给下山狼发Email     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 下山狼
I heard that market will melt down another 25% in 2008 and 2009
compound. Maybe it's still a bad time to jump into. The question
then falls into the local job market, and bay area might be the
better choice anyway.

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ca2004
Junior Member
递交于04-19-2008 18:42     按这里看ca2004的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to ca2004
好学区, 房价没跌多少.

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keepgoing
Senior Member
递交于04-19-2008 17:08     按这里看keepgoing的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to keepgoing
As far as I can tell, the following areas are significantly slowing
down: finance, real estate, semi-conductor, software, and legal
transactional side. Some companies start laying off people; more
freeze hiring; and most are cutting costs.

I don't think it's a good time to switch job in particular, but job
market wise the Bay Area may not be a bad choice depending on your
current job situation. The Bay Area offers more job opportunities in
general, even in an economic downturn. On the flip side your current
job holds more seniority and thus stability. So ultimately it's your
personal choice.

Regarding specific neighborhoods around here, it's hard to get a
general idea before you get to know the place. The standard
of "decent" is noticeably lower than most other areas so don't expect
much for a big chunck of money.

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月色盒糖
Senior Member
递交于04-19-2008 13:17     按这里看月色盒糖的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 月色盒糖
quote:
来源于:keepgoing:
Layoffs and hiring freezes are just starting, which will have a
further impact on the hoursing market. Personally I don't think this
is the time yet.

I might have an apportunity to relocate to the bay area. Is it a good
time? What should I expect/prepare?

Also, can u recommend some good websites for the Bay area real estate
market? which areas are decent but not too pricy, and not too far
from Oakland/SF?

Thanks

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林依然
Senior Member
递交于04-17-2008 16:42     按这里看林依然的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 林依然
现在跌了多少,20%?还要跌,贷款难拿到,要是付现金,就再等等。

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keepgoing
Senior Member
递交于04-17-2008 14:17     按这里看keepgoing的档案     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to keepgoing
Layoffs and hiring freezes are just starting, which will have a
further impact on the hoursing market. Personally I don't think this
is the time yet.

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下山狼
Senior Member
递交于04-17-2008 07:28     按这里看下山狼的档案   按这里给下山狼发Email     Edit/Delete Message  Reply w/Quote     send a private message to 下山狼
听说没咱的变,明年还得涨。 现是吃进的时候了,各位做个参考?

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